Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Betting Previews

MLB Wild Card Best Bets, Odds, Predictions for Rays vs. Guardians for October 7, 2022

Is this the best baseball weekend…ever? It might be. With the new Postseason format, MLB has created it’s own version of March Madness. High stakes baseball from Noon to Midnight Eastern Time. It simply doesn’t get much better than that. Let’s take a look at our MLB Best Bet for the day one of this Wild Card Weekend.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: 12:07 pm EST

Shane McClanahan (LHP, Rays) [12-8, 2.54 ERA]

Shane Bieber (RHP, Guardians) [13-8, 2.88 ERA]

Call me square or crazy, but I struggle to see how the Rays are underdogs in this series, let alone this game. They are the better team, and I don’t give a huge edge to home-field advantage when the game is at noon on a weekday. Half the crowd is gonna be on their first cup of coffee.

Shane McClanahan will toe the slab for the Rays, and he is one of the five bets pitchers in baseball. He finished the season with a2.79 xERA, 2.60 xFIP and 3.00 FIP. He allowed just a .248 wOBA against alongside a .261 xwOBA. There isn’t much else to say, he’s elite.

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.

Where my backing of the Rays really comes from is in relation to Shane Bieber. Bieber had himself a very nice season, posting a 2.88 ERA in exactly 200 innings pitched. But a quick peak under the hood gives me some repose.

His xERA sits at a much worse 3.51, while his Hard Hit % is amongst the highest in baseball. He allowed a .262 wOBA against, but a .293 expected and the Rays just faced him ten days ago. In that game, Tampa scratched across four runs on six hits in six innings pitched.

Bieber isn’t going to blow these Rays hitters away, he was only in the 65th percentile in K%. I like the Tampa hitters to do enough off Bieber to put themselves in a good spot to win. The Rays will have a full, elite bullpen at their disposal: Jason Adam, Shawn Armstrong, Drew Rasmussen, Corey Kluber, Pete Fairbanks, Jeffrey Springs and others are all at the Rays disposal today.

The Rays are the better team in this series, grab them as underdogs while you can.

The Pick: Rays ML +105

Written By

Thank you for reading, I hope you enjoyed it! Please feel free to follow or send your thoughts/comments to me via twitter @rcoles0206. If you would like a specific player written up with our thoughts just send over a tweet!

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You May Also Like

Betting Previews

Well, I took the Giants yesterday as my MLB Best Bet and they lost 13-4. As it turns out, the bullpen day did not keep...


We’re 11 days away from the 2022 MLB Trade Deadline and the Yankees seem connected to all the big names available on the market....


Since joining the New York Yankees on July 30, Joey Gallo is slashing .169/.319/.709 with three home runs, six RBI, and 29 strikeouts in...


This article will be updated as new information comes out  The New York Yankees have tentatively acquired Outfielder Joey Gallo and Left-Handed Relief Pitcher...

Copyright © 2021 Pinstripe Prospects

Skip to toolbar